Jaylen WarrenorTony Pollard?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jaylen Warren
Jaylen Warren outscores Tony Pollard in 55% of simulations.
Tony Pollard still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Jaylen Warren is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jaylen Warren projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Tony Pollard has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (10% more than average to RBs); Jaylen Warren faces the Cleveland Browns (5% fewer than average to RBs). Jaylen Warren still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.1 | 13.1 |
| PPR projection | 15.6 | 14.0 |
| Standard projection | 12.6 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | RB11 | RB13 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.4 | 11.8 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 62% | 75% |
| Trade value | 36 | 22 |