Bucky IrvingorTony Pollard?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Bucky Irving
Bucky Irving outscores Tony Pollard in 56% of simulations.
Tony Pollard still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Bucky Irving is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bucky Irving projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Bucky Irving faces the Atlanta Falcons (4% more than average to RBs), Tony Pollard faces the Cincinnati Bengals (10% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 13.0
- Ceiling
- 25.1
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.4 | 13.1 |
| PPR projection | 15.7 | 14.0 |
| Standard projection | 13.1 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | RB13 |
| Matchup | vs ATL | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.4 | 11.8 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 59% | 75% |
| Trade value | 34 | 22 |