Bucky IrvingorJonathan Taylor?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor outscores Bucky Irving in 58% of simulations.
Bucky Irving still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Jonathan Taylor is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jonathan Taylor projects 2.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Bucky Irving has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (15% more than average to RBs); Jonathan Taylor faces the Minnesota Vikings (18% fewer than average to RBs). Jonathan Taylor still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 12.3
- Ceiling
- 24.1
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 6.0
- Median
- 14.8
- Ceiling
- 29.7
- Big game (20+):
- 31%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jonathan TaylorRB, IND, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.8 | 16.7 |
| PPR projection | 15.2 | 17.8 |
| Standard projection | 12.3 | 15.6 |
| Rank this week | RB9 | RB5 |
| Matchup | at CAR | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.8 | 18.5 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 20.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 85% | 78% |
| Trade value | 26 | 61 |