Javonte WilliamsorJonathan Taylor?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor outscores Javonte Williams in 58% of simulations.
Javonte Williams still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Jonathan Taylor is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jonathan Taylor projects 3.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Jonathan Taylor faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (4% fewer than average to RBs), Javonte Williams faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.3
- Median
- 14.5
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Big game (20+):
- 26%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
- Floor
- 7.0
- Median
- 17.2
- Ceiling
- 34.6
- Big game (20+):
- 41%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 p.m. ET | Jonathan TaylorRB, IND, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.6 | 19.4 |
| PPR projection | 17.0 | 20.6 |
| Standard projection | 14.3 | 18.2 |
| Rank this week | RB6 | RB2 |
| Matchup | vs TB | at PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.6 | 20.3 |
| Last season per game | 14.1 | 20.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 74% | 71% |
| Trade value | 56 | 83 |