Bucky IrvingorChuba Hubbard?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Bucky Irving
Bucky Irving outscores Chuba Hubbard in 55% of simulations.
Chuba Hubbard still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Bucky Irving is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bucky Irving projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Bucky Irving faces the Chicago Bears (12% fewer than average to RBs), Chuba Hubbard faces the Denver Broncos (6% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
- Floor
- 4.9
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 22.4
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET | Chuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.8 | 12.9 |
| PPR projection | 14.9 | 14.3 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | RB12 |
| Matchup | at CHI | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.2 | 17.4 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 7.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 50% | 92% |
| Trade value | 36 | 28 |