Josh JacobsorQuinshon Judkins?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs outscores Quinshon Judkins in 57% of simulations.

Quinshon Judkins still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Josh Jacobs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Josh Jacobs projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Quinshon Judkins has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (16% more than average to RBs); Josh Jacobs faces the New England Patriots (16% fewer than average to RBs). Josh Jacobs still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Josh Jacobs
Floor
5.7
Median
12.9
Ceiling
24.8
Big game (20+):
20%
Dud (under 6):
11%
Quinshon Judkins
Floor
4.3
Median
10.9
Ceiling
22.7
Big game (20+):
14%
Dud (under 6):
20%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJosh JacobsRB, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ETQuinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection14.312.4
PPR projection15.713.7
Standard projection12.811.1
Rank this weekRB9RB13
Matchupat NEat NO
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game18.910.9
Last season per game14.611.2
Snap share, last game71%39%
Trade value4311