Josh JacobsorKyren Williams?

Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs outscores Kyren Williams in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kyren Williams comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Josh Jacobs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Josh Jacobs projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Josh Jacobs has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (21% more than average to RBs); Kyren Williams faces the Los Angeles Chargers (5% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Josh Jacobs
Floor
6.5
Median
15.3
Ceiling
29.9
Big game (20+):
32%
Dud (under 6):
8%
Kyren Williams
Floor
7.5
Median
14.3
Ceiling
24.1
Big game (20+):
22%
Dud (under 6):
5%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJosh JacobsRB, GB, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ETKyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection17.015.5
PPR projection18.517.2
Standard projection15.413.8
Rank this weekRB4RB8
Matchupvs CARvs LAC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game17.617.3
Last season per game14.614.4
Snap share, last game52%51%
Trade value4046