Jonathan TaylororKyren Williams?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor outscores Kyren Williams in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyren Williams comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Jonathan Taylor, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jonathan Taylor projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Jonathan Taylor faces the Miami Dolphins (12% more than average to RBs), Kyren Williams faces the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 31.0
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 7.0
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jonathan TaylorRB, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.1 | 15.2 |
| PPR projection | 18.6 | 16.8 |
| Standard projection | 15.5 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | RB5 | RB9 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.6 | 15.7 |
| Last season per game | 20.0 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 69% | 64% |
| Trade value | 48 | 37 |