Javonte WilliamsorKyren Williams?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams outscores Javonte Williams in 55% of simulations.

Javonte Williams still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Kyren Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kyren Williams projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Kyren Williams faces the Washington Commanders (4% more than average to RBs), Javonte Williams faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Javonte Williams
Floor
6.8
Median
13.8
Ceiling
25.2
Big game (20+):
22%
Dud (under 6):
7%
Kyren Williams
Floor
7.7
Median
14.6
Ceiling
24.6
Big game (20+):
24%
Dud (under 6):
5%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJavonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETKyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection15.015.8
PPR projection16.017.4
Standard projection13.914.2
Rank this weekRB7RB6
Matchupat INDat WAS
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game15.916.7
Last season per game14.114.4
Snap share, last game74%69%
Trade value3540