Christian McCaffreyorKyren Williams?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Christian McCaffrey
Christian McCaffrey outscores Kyren Williams in 75% of simulations.
Kyren Williams comes out ahead in the other 25%. Christian McCaffrey projects 7.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Christian McCaffrey has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (17% more than average to RBs); Kyren Williams faces the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Christian McCaffrey wins 70%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 11.9
- Median
- 21.3
- Ceiling
- 34.3
- Big game (20+):
- 56%
- Dud (under 6):
- 1%
- Floor
- 7.0
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Christian McCaffreyRB, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 22.2 | 15.2 |
| PPR projection | 25.0 | 16.8 |
| Standard projection | 19.4 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | RB1 | RB9 |
| Matchup | at DAL | at ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.6 | 15.7 |
| Last season per game | 21.5 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 68% | 64% |
| Trade value | 91 | 37 |