Christian McCaffreyorKenneth Walker III?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Christian McCaffrey
Christian McCaffrey outscores Kenneth Walker III in 64% of simulations.
Kenneth Walker III still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Christian McCaffrey is the better bet, not a sure thing. Christian McCaffrey projects 3.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Christian McCaffrey faces the Las Vegas Raiders (11% more than average to RBs), Kenneth Walker III faces the New York Jets (17% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 11.3
- Median
- 20.3
- Ceiling
- 32.8
- Big game (20+):
- 52%
- Dud (under 6):
- 1%
- Floor
- 6.6
- Median
- 15.9
- Ceiling
- 30.5
- Big game (20+):
- 34%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Christian McCaffreyRB, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 21.2 | 17.3 |
| PPR projection | 24.1 | 18.7 |
| Standard projection | 18.3 | 15.8 |
| Rank this week | RB2 | RB4 |
| Matchup | vs LV | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.1 | 21.3 |
| Last season per game | 21.5 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 81% |
| Trade value | 79 | 47 |