Jahmyr GibbsorJonathan Taylor?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jahmyr Gibbs
Jahmyr Gibbs outscores Jonathan Taylor in 62% of simulations.
Jonathan Taylor still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Jahmyr Gibbs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jahmyr Gibbs projects 5.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Jahmyr Gibbs faces the Miami Dolphins (13% more than average to RBs), Jonathan Taylor faces the Dallas Cowboys (17% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.4
- Median
- 21.8
- Ceiling
- 42.4
- Big game (20+):
- 55%
- Dud (under 6):
- 3%
- Floor
- 6.6
- Median
- 16.6
- Ceiling
- 33.7
- Big game (20+):
- 38%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jahmyr GibbsRB, DET, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jonathan TaylorRB, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 24.3 | 18.8 |
| PPR projection | 26.8 | 20.2 |
| Standard projection | 21.9 | 17.3 |
| Rank this week | RB1 | RB3 |
| Matchup | at MIA | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 25.5 | 16.7 |
| Last season per game | 19.3 | 20.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 62% |
| Trade value | 100 | 51 |