Jahmyr GibbsorKenneth Walker III?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jahmyr Gibbs
Jahmyr Gibbs outscores Kenneth Walker III in 67% of simulations.
Kenneth Walker III still comes out ahead in the other 33%, so Jahmyr Gibbs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jahmyr Gibbs projects 8.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Jahmyr Gibbs has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (10% more than average to RBs); Kenneth Walker III faces the Seattle Seahawks (12% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 9.7
- Median
- 22.6
- Ceiling
- 44.4
- Big game (20+):
- 58%
- Dud (under 6):
- 3%
- Floor
- 7.7
- Median
- 16.0
- Ceiling
- 28.6
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 5%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jahmyr GibbsRB, DET, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET | Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 25.3 | 17.2 |
| PPR projection | 27.9 | 18.2 |
| Standard projection | 22.7 | 16.2 |
| Rank this week | RB1 | RB4 |
| Matchup | vs GB | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 28.0 | 26.2 |
| Last season per game | 19.3 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 70% | 74% |
| Trade value | 100 | 65 |