Derrick HenryorJahmyr Gibbs?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jahmyr Gibbs
Jahmyr Gibbs outscores Derrick Henry in 76% of simulations.
Derrick Henry comes out ahead in the other 24%. These are their next games: Derrick Henry in Week 10, Jahmyr Gibbs in Week 9. Jahmyr Gibbs projects 10.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jahmyr Gibbs has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (13% more than average to RBs); Derrick Henry faces the Los Angeles Chargers (3% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 11.8
- Ceiling
- 24.6
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 9.4
- Median
- 21.8
- Ceiling
- 42.4
- Big game (20+):
- 55%
- Dud (under 6):
- 3%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Derrick HenryRB, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET | Jahmyr GibbsRB, DET, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.4 | 24.3 |
| PPR projection | 14.0 | 26.8 |
| Standard projection | 12.9 | 21.9 |
| Rank this week | Not ranked | RB1 |
| Matchup | vs LAC | at MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.1 | 25.5 |
| Last season per game | 16.0 | 19.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 50% | 76% |
| Trade value | 25 | 100 |