Christian McCaffreyorJahmyr Gibbs?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jahmyr Gibbs
Jahmyr Gibbs outscores Christian McCaffrey in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Christian McCaffrey comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Jahmyr Gibbs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jahmyr Gibbs projects 3.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Jahmyr Gibbs faces the Miami Dolphins (13% more than average to RBs), Christian McCaffrey faces the Las Vegas Raiders (11% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 11.3
- Median
- 20.3
- Ceiling
- 32.8
- Big game (20+):
- 52%
- Dud (under 6):
- 1%
- Floor
- 9.4
- Median
- 21.8
- Ceiling
- 42.4
- Big game (20+):
- 55%
- Dud (under 6):
- 3%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Christian McCaffreyRB, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Jahmyr GibbsRB, DET, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 21.2 | 24.3 |
| PPR projection | 24.1 | 26.8 |
| Standard projection | 18.3 | 21.9 |
| Rank this week | RB2 | RB1 |
| Matchup | vs LV | at MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.1 | 25.5 |
| Last season per game | 21.5 | 19.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 76% |
| Trade value | 79 | 100 |