Kenneth Walker IIIorKyren Williams?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker III outscores Kyren Williams in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyren Williams comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Kenneth Walker III, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenneth Walker III projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Kenneth Walker III faces the Las Vegas Raiders (1% fewer than average to RBs), Kyren Williams faces the Philadelphia Eagles (3% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 28.4
- Big game (20+):
- 30%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
- Floor
- 7.9
- Median
- 14.3
- Ceiling
- 23.7
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.5 | 15.5 |
| PPR projection | 17.8 | 16.9 |
| Standard projection | 15.2 | 14.0 |
| Rank this week | RB6 | RB7 |
| Matchup | at LV | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 24.6 | 15.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.4 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 71% |
| Trade value | 49 | 40 |