Kenneth Walker IIIorKyren Williams?

Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III outscores Kyren Williams in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kyren Williams comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Kenneth Walker III, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenneth Walker III projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Kenneth Walker III faces the Atlanta Falcons (6% more than average to RBs), Kyren Williams faces the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs). Kenneth Walker III is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kenneth Walker III
Floor
0.0
Median
15.3
Ceiling
30.8
Big game (20+):
34%
Dud (under 6):
16%
Kyren Williams
Floor
7.0
Median
13.9
Ceiling
24.0
Big game (20+):
21%
Dud (under 6):
6%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatKenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETKyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection16.615.2
PPR projection17.816.8
Standard projection15.313.6
Rank this weekRB5RB9
Matchupat ATLat ARI
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game22.915.7
Last season per game10.414.4
Snap share, last game65%64%
Trade value7137