Javonte WilliamsorKenneth Walker III?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker III outscores Javonte Williams in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Javonte Williams comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Kenneth Walker III, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenneth Walker III projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Kenneth Walker III has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (6% more than average to RBs); Javonte Williams faces the San Francisco 49ers (2% fewer than average to RBs). Kenneth Walker III is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.1
- Median
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 25.8
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 15.3
- Ceiling
- 30.8
- Big game (20+):
- 34%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.2 | 16.6 |
| PPR projection | 16.3 | 17.8 |
| Standard projection | 14.0 | 15.3 |
| Rank this week | RB7 | RB4 |
| Matchup | vs SF | at ATL |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 16.4 | 22.9 |
| Last season per game | 14.1 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 72% | 65% |
| Trade value | 49 | 77 |