Javonte WilliamsorKenneth Walker III?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker III outscores Javonte Williams in 58% of simulations.
Javonte Williams still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Kenneth Walker III is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kenneth Walker III projects 2.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Kenneth Walker III has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (1% fewer than average to RBs); Javonte Williams faces the Houston Texans (18% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.0
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 21.6
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
- Floor
- 6.2
- Median
- 14.0
- Ceiling
- 26.3
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 9%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 15.2 |
| PPR projection | 13.9 | 16.4 |
| Standard projection | 11.7 | 14.0 |
| Rank this week | RB12 | RB8 |
| Matchup | at HOU | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.2 | 24.6 |
| Last season per game | 14.1 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 73% |
| Trade value | 36 | 42 |