Bijan RobinsonorJavonte Williams?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Bijan Robinson
Bijan Robinson outscores Javonte Williams in 58% of simulations.
Javonte Williams still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Bijan Robinson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bijan Robinson projects 3.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Javonte Williams has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (12% more than average to RBs); Bijan Robinson faces the Chicago Bears (6% fewer than average to RBs). Bijan Robinson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.6
- Median
- 18.6
- Ceiling
- 33.4
- Big game (20+):
- 44%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
- Floor
- 8.0
- Median
- 15.8
- Ceiling
- 28.7
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bijan RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 20.0 | 17.0 |
| PPR projection | 21.9 | 18.5 |
| Standard projection | 18.1 | 15.6 |
| Rank this week | RB1 | RB5 |
| Matchup | vs CHI | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 22.4 | 17.5 |
| Last season per game | 19.5 | 14.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 85% |
| Trade value | 80 | 48 |