James CookorJavonte Williams?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean James Cook

James Cook outscores Javonte Williams in 55% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Javonte Williams comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean James Cook, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. James Cook projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Javonte Williams has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs); James Cook faces the Minnesota Vikings (12% fewer than average to RBs). James Cook still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

James Cook
Floor
7.1
Median
15.0
Ceiling
27.1
Big game (20+):
28%
Dud (under 6):
6%
Javonte Williams
Floor
6.8
Median
13.8
Ceiling
25.2
Big game (20+):
22%
Dud (under 6):
7%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJames CookRB, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ETJavonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection16.615.0
PPR projection17.416.0
Standard projection15.713.9
Rank this weekRB5RB7
Matchupat MINat IND
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game18.015.9
Last season per game16.814.1
Snap share, last game54%74%
Trade value6435