D'Andre SwiftorKenneth Walker III?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker III outscores D'Andre Swift in 58% of simulations.
D'Andre Swift still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Kenneth Walker III is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kenneth Walker III projects 2.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Kenneth Walker III has the better matchup against the New York Jets (17% more than average to RBs); D'Andre Swift faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 25.1
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
- Floor
- 6.6
- Median
- 15.9
- Ceiling
- 30.5
- Big game (20+):
- 34%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET | Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.9 | 17.3 |
| PPR projection | 16.2 | 18.7 |
| Standard projection | 13.7 | 15.8 |
| Rank this week | RB8 | RB4 |
| Matchup | vs TB | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.3 | 21.3 |
| Last season per game | 13.2 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 81% |
| Trade value | 45 | 47 |