James CookorKyren Williams?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean James Cook
James Cook outscores Kyren Williams in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyren Williams comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean James Cook, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. James Cook projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Kyren Williams has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (4% more than average to RBs); James Cook faces the Minnesota Vikings (12% fewer than average to RBs). James Cook still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.1
- Median
- 15.0
- Ceiling
- 27.1
- Big game (20+):
- 28%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
- Floor
- 7.7
- Median
- 14.6
- Ceiling
- 24.6
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 5%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | James CookRB, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.6 | 15.8 |
| PPR projection | 17.4 | 17.4 |
| Standard projection | 15.7 | 14.2 |
| Rank this week | RB5 | RB6 |
| Matchup | at MIN | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.0 | 16.7 |
| Last season per game | 16.8 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 54% | 69% |
| Trade value | 64 | 40 |