D'Andre SwiftorKyren Williams?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean D'Andre Swift
D'Andre Swift outscores Kyren Williams in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyren Williams comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean D'Andre Swift, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. D'Andre Swift projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. D'Andre Swift has the better matchup against the New York Jets (27% more than average to RBs); Kyren Williams faces the Philadelphia Eagles (average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.5
- Median
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 28.8
- Big game (20+):
- 30%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
- Floor
- 7.7
- Median
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 23.3
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.8 | 15.2 |
| PPR projection | 18.2 | 16.6 |
| Standard projection | 15.4 | 13.7 |
| Rank this week | RB6 | RB9 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.4 | 15.8 |
| Last season per game | 13.2 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 69% | 71% |
| Trade value | 36 | 40 |