A.J. BrownorD'Andre Swift?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Start D'Andre Swift
D'Andre Swift outscores A.J. Brown in 70% of simulations.
A.J. Brown still comes out ahead in the other 30%, so D'Andre Swift is the better bet, not a sure thing. D'Andre Swift projects 4.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: D'Andre Swift faces the Seattle Seahawks (15% fewer than average to RBs), A.J. Brown faces the Miami Dolphins (13% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, D'Andre Swift wins 65%; in Standard leagues, D'Andre Swift wins 77%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
- Floor
- 5.5
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | A.J. BrownWR, NE, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.8 | 13.5 |
| PPR projection | 10.8 | 14.8 |
| Standard projection | 6.7 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | WR25 | RB12 |
| Matchup | at MIA | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.9 | 16.0 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 13.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 91% | 86% |
| Trade value | 4 | 35 |