Denzel BostonorZay Flowers?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Zay Flowers
Zay Flowers outscores Denzel Boston in 62% of simulations.
Denzel Boston still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Zay Flowers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Zay Flowers projects 2.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Zay Flowers faces the Los Angeles Chargers (3% more than average to WRs), Denzel Boston faces the Houston Texans (average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 15.8
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 21.9
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Denzel BostonWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zay FlowersWR, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.0 | 11.7 |
| PPR projection | 10.9 | 14.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.0 | 9.2 |
| Rank this week | WR31 | WR14 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.6 | 13.3 |
| Last season per game | — | 11.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 93% | 66% |
| Trade value | — | 18 |