Chris OlaveorZay Flowers?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores Zay Flowers in 56% of simulations.
Zay Flowers still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Chris Olave is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chris Olave projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Zay Flowers has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (3% more than average to WRs); Chris Olave faces the Carolina Panthers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Chris Olave still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 21.9
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zay FlowersWR, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.5 | 11.7 |
| PPR projection | 15.6 | 14.2 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 9.1 |
| Rank this week | WR11 | WR14 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.2 | 13.3 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 11.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 85% | 66% |
| Trade value | 37 | 20 |