Malik NabersorTetairoa McMillan?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Malik Nabers
Malik Nabers outscores Tetairoa McMillan in 60% of simulations.
Tetairoa McMillan still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Malik Nabers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Malik Nabers projects 4.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Malik Nabers has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (6% more than average to WRs); Tetairoa McMillan faces the Denver Broncos (15% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 20.2
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 17.9 | 12.9 |
| Standard projection | 11.3 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | WR5 | WR15 |
| Matchup | at PHI | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.8 | 12.6 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 10.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 89% |
| Trade value | 41 | 22 |