Chris OlaveorNico Collins?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores Nico Collins in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Nico Collins comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Chris Olave, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Olave projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Chris Olave faces the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs), Nico Collins faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 21.3
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 20.0
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Nico CollinsWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.5 | 11.4 |
| PPR projection | 15.5 | 13.5 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 9.2 |
| Rank this week | WR9 | WR11 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.3 | 12.8 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 12.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 67% |
| Trade value | 34 | 24 |