Chris OlaveorChristian Watson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Christian Watson
Christian Watson outscores Chris Olave in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chris Olave comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Christian Watson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Christian Watson projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Christian Watson has the better matchup against the New England Patriots (2% more than average to WRs); Chris Olave faces the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 21.3
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.5 | 13.4 |
| PPR projection | 15.5 | 15.8 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 11.1 |
| Rank this week | WR9 | WR7 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.3 | 15.7 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 11.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 49% |
| Trade value | 34 | 31 |