Malik NabersorNico Collins?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Nico Collins
Nico Collins outscores Malik Nabers in 57% of simulations.
Malik Nabers still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Nico Collins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 14.0 half-PPR points in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Nico Collins faces the New York Giants (5% more than average to WRs), Malik Nabers faces the Houston Texans (1% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 28.0
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 25%
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 24.1
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Nico CollinsWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.0 | 14.0 |
| PPR projection | 17.2 | 16.6 |
| Standard projection | 10.9 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | WR11 | WR10 |
| Matchup | at HOU | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.7 | 15.6 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 12.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 73% |
| Trade value | 30 | 27 |