Drake LondonorNico Collins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Nico Collins
Nico Collins outscores Drake London in 60% of simulations.
Drake London still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Nico Collins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Nico Collins projects 2.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Nico Collins faces the Tennessee Titans (13% more than average to WRs), Drake London faces the Baltimore Ravens (16% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 27.4
- Big game (20+):
- 23%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
- Floor
- 7.3
- Median
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 27.9
- Big game (20+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Drake LondonWR, ATL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 p.m. ET | Nico CollinsWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 16.6 |
| PPR projection | 17.6 | 19.5 |
| Standard projection | 11.6 | 13.8 |
| Rank this week | WR8 | WR5 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | at TEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.8 | 22.5 |
| Last season per game | 14.0 | 12.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 69% |
| Trade value | 38 | 55 |