Amon-Ra St. BrownorDrake London?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Drake London in 60% of simulations.
Drake London still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Amon-Ra St. Brown is the better bet, not a sure thing. Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 2.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Drake London has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (15% more than average to WRs); Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the Arizona Cardinals (7% more than average to WRs). Amon-Ra St. Brown still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.0
- Median
- 15.0
- Ceiling
- 31.1
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 27.4
- Big game (20+):
- 23%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Drake LondonWR, ATL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.2 | 14.6 |
| PPR projection | 21.0 | 17.6 |
| Standard projection | 13.5 | 11.6 |
| Rank this week | WR3 | WR6 |
| Matchup | at ARI | vs BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.9 | 11.8 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 14.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 96% | 89% |
| Trade value | 61 | 35 |