Bucky IrvingorNico Collins?

Week 7 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Nico Collins

Nico Collins outscores Bucky Irving in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Bucky Irving comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Nico Collins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Nico Collins projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Bucky Irving has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (15% more than average to RBs); Nico Collins faces the New York Giants (5% more than average to WRs). Nico Collins still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bucky Irving
Floor
5.3
Median
12.3
Ceiling
24.1
Big game (20+):
19%
Dud (under 6):
13%
Nico Collins
Floor
5.8
Median
12.7
Ceiling
24.1
Big game (20+):
18%
Dud (under 6):
11%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ETNico CollinsWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection13.814.0
PPR projection15.216.6
Standard projection12.311.5
Rank this weekRB9WR10
Matchupat CARvs NYG
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.815.6
Last season per game12.312.7
Snap share, last game85%73%
Trade value2627