CeeDee LamborTetairoa McMillan?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start CeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb outscores Tetairoa McMillan in 59% of simulations.
Tetairoa McMillan still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so CeeDee Lamb is the better bet, not a sure thing. CeeDee Lamb projects 2.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: CeeDee Lamb faces the Green Bay Packers (3% fewer than average to WRs), Tetairoa McMillan faces the Philadelphia Eagles (2% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.9
- Median
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Big game (20+):
- 26%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 25.7
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | CeeDee LambWR, DAL, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET | Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.3 | 13.3 |
| PPR projection | 18.6 | 16.0 |
| Standard projection | 11.9 | 10.6 |
| Rank this week | WR4 | WR8 |
| Matchup | at GB | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 19.1 | 15.4 |
| Last season per game | 12.6 | 10.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 57% | 89% |
| Trade value | 47 | 36 |