Justin JeffersonorTetairoa McMillan?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Tetairoa McMillan
Tetairoa McMillan outscores Justin Jefferson in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Justin Jefferson comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Tetairoa McMillan, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tetairoa McMillan projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Justin Jefferson has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (7% more than average to WRs); Tetairoa McMillan faces the New Orleans Saints (5% fewer than average to WRs). Tetairoa McMillan still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 19.3
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 9.6
- Ceiling
- 21.8
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Justin JeffersonWR, MIN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.0 | 11.4 |
| PPR projection | 13.5 | 13.9 |
| Standard projection | 8.6 | 9.0 |
| Rank this week | WR18 | WR17 |
| Matchup | at GB | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.4 | 12.7 |
| Last season per game | 9.4 | 10.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 98% | 80% |
| Trade value | 13 | 23 |