George PickensorJustin Jefferson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Justin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson outscores George Pickens in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: George Pickens comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Justin Jefferson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 11.2 half-PPR points in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Justin Jefferson faces the Buffalo Bills (1% more than average to WRs), George Pickens faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to WRs). George Pickens is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 21.8
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 10.0
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | George PickensWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Justin JeffersonWR, MIN, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.2 | 11.2 |
| PPR projection | 13.5 | 13.7 |
| Standard projection | 8.9 | 8.7 |
| Rank this week | WR14 | WR13 |
| Matchup | at IND | vs BUF |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.6 | 12.1 |
| Last season per game | 14.4 | 9.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 57% | 96% |
| Trade value | 24 | 18 |