Jameson WilliamsorStefon Diggs?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs outscores Jameson Williams in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jameson Williams comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Stefon Diggs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Stefon Diggs projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Stefon Diggs faces the New York Giants (8% more than average to WRs), Jameson Williams faces the Arizona Cardinals (7% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 19.3
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 32%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 18.8
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jameson WilliamsWR, DET, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.2 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 12.2 | 13.0 |
| Standard projection | 8.1 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | WR18 | WR17 |
| Matchup | at ARI | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.7 | 11.0 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 99% | 66% |
| Trade value | 11 | 13 |