Luther Burden IIIorStefon Diggs?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs outscores Luther Burden III in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Luther Burden III comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Stefon Diggs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Stefon Diggs projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Luther Burden III has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (12% more than average to WRs); Stefon Diggs faces the San Francisco 49ers (3% fewer than average to WRs). Stefon Diggs still wins more often despite that. Stefon Diggs is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 17.4
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.4
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Luther Burden IIIWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.6 | 8.9 |
| PPR projection | 10.6 | 11.0 |
| Standard projection | 6.5 | 6.8 |
| Rank this week | WR26 | WR23 |
| Matchup | at ATL | at SF |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 8.9 | 11.0 |
| Last season per game | 7.0 | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 66% |
| Trade value | — | 10 |