Emeka EgbukaorLuther Burden III?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Emeka Egbuka

Emeka Egbuka outscores Luther Burden III in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Luther Burden III comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Emeka Egbuka, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Emeka Egbuka projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Luther Burden III has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (12% more than average to WRs); Emeka Egbuka faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (3% more than average to WRs). Emeka Egbuka still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Emeka Egbuka
Floor
2.4
Median
7.9
Ceiling
18.3
Big game (20+):
8%
Dud (under 6):
37%
Luther Burden III
Floor
2.0
Median
7.0
Ceiling
17.4
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
43%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatEmeka EgbukaWR, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETLuther Burden IIIWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.38.6
PPR projection11.410.6
Standard projection7.36.5
Rank this weekWR23WR27
Matchupvs PITat ATL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.68.9
Last season per game9.77.0
Snap share, last game89%77%
Trade value5—