Justin JeffersonorRome Odunze?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Justin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson outscores Rome Odunze in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rome Odunze comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Justin Jefferson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Justin Jefferson projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Rome Odunze has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (1% more than average to WRs); Justin Jefferson faces the New Orleans Saints (9% fewer than average to WRs). Justin Jefferson still wins more often despite that. Justin Jefferson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 18.5
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 17.9
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Justin JeffersonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rome OdunzeWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 9.3 |
| PPR projection | 11.7 | 11.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | WR20 | WR24 |
| Matchup | at NO | at GB |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.8 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 9.4 | 10.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 12% | 89% |
| Trade value | 18 | 2 |