DK MetcalforTee Higgins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean DK Metcalf
DK Metcalf outscores Tee Higgins in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tee Higgins comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean DK Metcalf, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tee Higgins projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. DK Metcalf has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (14% more than average to WRs); Tee Higgins faces the Miami Dolphins (14% fewer than average to WRs). Tee Higgins is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 9.8
- Ceiling
- 19.2
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 10.3
- Ceiling
- 22.0
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DK MetcalfWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.9 | 11.3 |
| PPR projection | 13.0 | 13.4 |
| Standard projection | 8.7 | 9.2 |
| Rank this week | WR16 | WR15 |
| Matchup | vs IND | at MIA |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 8.8 | 14.7 |
| Last season per game | 10.5 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 97% | 79% |
| Trade value | 8 | 38 |