Nico CollinsorTee Higgins?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Nico Collins
Nico Collins outscores Tee Higgins in 56% of simulations.
Tee Higgins still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Nico Collins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Nico Collins projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Nico Collins faces the New York Giants (5% more than average to WRs), Tee Higgins faces the Baltimore Ravens (11% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 24.1
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 11.4
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Nico CollinsWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| PPR projection | 16.6 | 15.5 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 10.5 |
| Rank this week | WR10 | WR14 |
| Matchup | vs NYG | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.6 | 12.4 |
| Last season per game | 12.7 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 69% |
| Trade value | 27 | 21 |