Nico CollinsorParker Washington?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Nico Collins

Nico Collins outscores Parker Washington in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Parker Washington comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Nico Collins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Nico Collins projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Parker Washington has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (14% more than average to WRs); Nico Collins faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Nico Collins still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Nico Collins
Floor
4.3
Median
10.2
Ceiling
20.0
Big game (20+):
10%
Dud (under 6):
20%
Parker Washington
Floor
3.2
Median
9.6
Ceiling
21.8
Big game (20+):
13%
Dud (under 6):
28%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatNico CollinsWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ETParker WashingtonWR, JAX, Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection11.411.3
PPR projection13.513.2
Standard projection9.29.3
Rank this weekWR15WR17
Matchupat LACat BAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.811.7
Last season per game12.79.7
Snap share, last game67%67%
Trade value2615