Amon-Ra St. BrownorMalik Nabers?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores Malik Nabers in 59% of simulations.
Malik Nabers still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Amon-Ra St. Brown is the better bet, not a sure thing. Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 1.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the Green Bay Packers (average to WRs), Malik Nabers faces the Houston Texans (1% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.5
- Median
- 13.7
- Ceiling
- 28.6
- Big game (20+):
- 27%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 28.1
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 25%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.7 | 14.0 |
| PPR projection | 19.2 | 17.2 |
| Standard projection | 12.2 | 10.9 |
| Rank this week | WR6 | WR10 |
| Matchup | vs GB | at HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.1 | 13.7 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 12.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 86% |
| Trade value | 42 | 29 |