Chris OlaveorDrake London?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores Drake London in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Drake London comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Chris Olave, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Drake London projects 0.9 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Drake London has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (16% more than average to WRs); Chris Olave faces the Minnesota Vikings (18% fewer than average to WRs). Chris Olave still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 23.1
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 27.4
- Big game (20+):
- 23%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Drake LondonWR, ATL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.7 | 14.6 |
| PPR projection | 17.0 | 17.6 |
| Standard projection | 10.5 | 11.6 |
| Rank this week | WR11 | WR8 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | vs BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.1 | 11.8 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 14.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 89% |
| Trade value | 54 | 38 |