Amon-Ra St. BrownorDeVonta Smith?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Amon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown outscores DeVonta Smith in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DeVonta Smith comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Amon-Ra St. Brown, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. DeVonta Smith has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (13% more than average to WRs); Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the Minnesota Vikings (23% fewer than average to WRs). Amon-Ra St. Brown still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.1
- Median
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 25.1
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 24.7
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.0 | 12.6 |
| PPR projection | 17.1 | 15.6 |
| Standard projection | 10.8 | 9.7 |
| Rank this week | WR8 | WR11 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.6 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 66% |
| Trade value | 58 | 20 |