Amon-Ra St. BrownorCeeDee Lamb?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start CeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 58% of simulations.
Amon-Ra St. Brown still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so CeeDee Lamb is the better bet, not a sure thing. CeeDee Lamb projects 2.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. CeeDee Lamb has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to WRs); Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the Miami Dolphins (10% fewer than average to WRs). Amon-Ra St. Brown is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | CeeDee LambWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 14.9 |
| PPR projection | 15.9 | 18.4 |
| Standard projection | 9.8 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | WR8 | WR4 |
| Matchup | at MIA | at IND |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.4 | 17.3 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 12.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 72% | 76% |
| Trade value | 50 | 41 |