CeeDee LamborPuka Nacua?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Puka Nacua
Puka Nacua outscores CeeDee Lamb in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: CeeDee Lamb comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Puka Nacua, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Puka Nacua projects 1.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Puka Nacua faces the Buffalo Bills (average to WRs), CeeDee Lamb faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.8
- Median
- 15.8
- Ceiling
- 28.4
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 5%
- Floor
- 7.8
- Median
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 31.2
- Big game (20+):
- 36%
- Dud (under 6):
- 5%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | CeeDee LambWR, DAL, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 p.m. ET | Puka NacuaWR, LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.1 | 18.8 |
| PPR projection | 20.8 | 22.7 |
| Standard projection | 13.5 | 14.9 |
| Rank this week | WR4 | WR2 |
| Matchup | vs TB | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 23.4 | 16.6 |
| Last season per game | 12.6 | 19.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 90% |
| Trade value | 72 | 80 |