Nico CollinsorPuka Nacua?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Puka Nacua
Puka Nacua outscores Nico Collins in 77% of simulations.
Nico Collins comes out ahead in the other 23%. Puka Nacua projects 8.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Puka Nacua has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (10% more than average to WRs); Nico Collins faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 20.0
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
- Floor
- 8.7
- Median
- 18.1
- Ceiling
- 32.8
- Big game (20+):
- 42%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Nico CollinsWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Puka NacuaWR, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.4 | 20.1 |
| PPR projection | 13.5 | 24.8 |
| Standard projection | 9.2 | 15.3 |
| Rank this week | WR11 | WR2 |
| Matchup | at LAC | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.8 | 18.4 |
| Last season per game | 12.7 | 19.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 67% | 96% |
| Trade value | 24 | 70 |