Malik NabersorPuka Nacua?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Puka Nacua
Puka Nacua outscores Malik Nabers in 67% of simulations.
Malik Nabers still comes out ahead in the other 33%, so Puka Nacua is the better bet, not a sure thing. Puka Nacua projects 5.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Puka Nacua faces the Washington Commanders (10% more than average to WRs), Malik Nabers faces the Philadelphia Eagles (6% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 8.7
- Median
- 18.1
- Ceiling
- 32.8
- Big game (20+):
- 42%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Puka NacuaWR, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 20.1 |
| PPR projection | 17.9 | 24.8 |
| Standard projection | 11.3 | 15.3 |
| Rank this week | WR5 | WR2 |
| Matchup | at PHI | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.8 | 18.4 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 19.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 96% |
| Trade value | 41 | 70 |