Puka NacuaorRashee Rice?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Puka Nacua
Puka Nacua outscores Rashee Rice in 68% of simulations.
Rashee Rice still comes out ahead in the other 32%, so Puka Nacua is the better bet, not a sure thing. Puka Nacua projects 6.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Puka Nacua has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (10% more than average to WRs); Rashee Rice faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.7
- Median
- 18.1
- Ceiling
- 32.8
- Big game (20+):
- 42%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Puka NacuaWR, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 20.1 | 13.6 |
| PPR projection | 24.8 | 16.5 |
| Standard projection | 15.3 | 10.6 |
| Rank this week | WR2 | WR6 |
| Matchup | at WAS | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.4 | 11.6 |
| Last season per game | 19.4 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 96% | 57% |
| Trade value | 70 | 40 |